Saturday, October 25, 2014

A Study of Theft in Lower Bucks County


Introduction

            Over the course of twelve weeks, I gathered data from the police blotters of my local newspaper, The Advance, in order to assess the nature of theft in Lower Bucks County.  Initially, the purpose was to study the level of absurdity of objects stolen, but during the three months, I learned there was more to observe and draw inferences. 

The methodology I employed was mostly qualitative data with the exception of retail theft amounts.  Each week is marked with the ending Sunday.  For each week, I recorded the types of thefts and the items stolen.  Types of thefts were defined by the crimes as the township reported them.  Examples would be Theft, Burglary, Theft from Vehicle, Stolen Vehicle, Retail Theft, etc.  I did not include credit card fraud or any incident where it was unknown if anything was stolen.  Credit card companies reimburse their customers, and the corporate entity endures the loss.  This study focused on material losses of individuals and brick and mortar retail fronts.

            There is more detail on items stolen.  The qualitative lists of words showed common items, which became categories to account specific incidents per week.  Tables for the number of thefts quantified the number of incidents involving cash, jewelry, vehicles, electronics, etc.  Retail thefts had separate weekly tables, which gave the store’s name, the number of thefts that week, the value of merchandise per incident.  Totals on incidents and dollar amounts, and an average shortage could be calculated.  

There were three tables per week, and instead of showing all 36 tables, only tables and charts displaying cumulative values overall in this study are below.


Results and Analyses

Overall by Town

            In Table 1, each cell shows the calculated total theft in a given week by a reporting police unit.  The totals at the bottom indicate how many incidents occurred in all the participating townships that reported crime for that week.  The towns shown at the far left column are Newtown, Bristol, Middletown, Yardley, Lower Makefield Township (LMT), Bristol Borough, Morrisville, and Northampton.

Table 1



            The next three charts were derived from the processed data in Table 1.  They depict total thefts over time, thefts over time in the townships, and total thefts per town.

Chart 1


            The first chart shows the total thefts over the course of three months.  Stealing was highest in the middle of July, having a total of 60 accounts of theft.  In three weeks, the numbers faltered to only 21 incidents.  From that point, the crime rates for theft and burglary moderately increased, and teetered between 31 and 51 thefts in a given week.  It can be inferred that in Lower Bucks County, incidents of theft increase during the middle of summer.  Unfortunately, this study started later, and the numbers for June’s weeks are uncollected.  It is still possible to conjecture that theft decreased due to juvenile perpetrators entering their next school year, leaving only adult thieves available for offending.


Chart 2


            This chart displays the weekly total for the individual towns.  Middletown and Bristol stand out the most for a few reasons.  Middletown’s jurisdiction encompasses the Oxford Valley Mall and Court areas, which are central to commerce.  The majority of retail theft occurs in Middletown.  Bristol is part of Levittown, which is the tenth largest community in Pennsylvania according to NeighborhoodScout.com.  The thefts reported are from Bristol and other Levittown subsections, hence their numbers are higher.  Yardley and Morrisville have smaller police departments.  Most Yardley residents report to Lower Makefield Township Police Department, since it is the bigger agency with more officers on duty.  Yardley’s police covers mostly the downtown area.

            Interesting to note, during the week ending on August 31st, Bristol had zero theft and Middletown peaked.  Though, that week Bristol did not report crimes to the newspaper.


Chart 3

  
            This bar chart represents the number of thefts occurring in each town based on reports submitted by each township to the police blotter.  Some towns did not submit crime reports each week.  Morrisville and Northampton appeared two weeks into this study.  Yardley dropped out of the second week, possibly because it has a small police agency.  Newtown reported every week and their theft related crime rates were relatively lower than the other towns.

Chart 4


            Table 2



            Due to the lack of reporting from each town, it is important to show the level of participation each township has in submitting information to the local newspaper.  The uneven submissions skew the data, which I can not help.  Table 2 and Chart 4 show that Newtown, Middletown, and LMT reported all twelve times, and Bristol reported 11. 



Types of Items Stolen

Table 3



Chart 5


 Chart 6



            According to Table 3 and Charts 5 and 6, the four prominent types of theft in this area involve electronics, cash, other financial information, and miscellaneous items.  “Other financial information” includes credit cards, checks, and purses and wallets that contain financial information.
            The other categories also had a range of different possessions, some less obvious than others.  Cars and other vehicles include motorcycles, dirt bikes, quads, and electric bikes.  Car parts included hub caps, vehicular batteries, and even the radio antenna on the back.  Tools included saws, jackhammers, weed whackers, and other lawn equipment.  Change was just loose coins.  Also observable were the incidents involving copper and scrap metals, but there were not enough accounts to designate a category for it, so I put them under miscellaneous.

            The most apparent type of theft is miscellaneous.  People usually steal the most unlikely objects, and the most plausible reason people fall victim is that they do not suspect anyone stealing these things.  Thieves derive a twisted sense of empowerment in their stealing, but when they loot the most ridiculous things, they are mysterious idiots.  I think I have read wilder crimes in Nancy Drew novels during my youth than these Boxcar Children type of thefts, where the villains steal random things that serve the villain no purpose.  Ex.  Wow, you stole a window!  The thieves in Lower Bucks are just as peculiar.

            Since I had noticed eccentric items reported stolen in the past, I had wanted to generate a list of the stupidest and weirdest items stolen.  Here is my Hall of Lame.

Hall of Lame
            Mailboxes, two manhole covers, bag of cat litter, windshield wipers, soda, carpeting, construction vehicle batteries, “numerous cartons of cigarettes,” headlights, vacuum, carpet shampooing machine, fire extinguisher, charging cable to iPod, “car blinkers,” backpack leaf blower, USPS packages, 8 cans of baby formula, $965 worth of razors, 12 red Honda generators, lottery tickets, car seat, bookbags, driver’s license, jackhammer, hub cap, sweatshirt, microwave, golf clubs, stereo faceplate, power pruner, newspapers throughout a neighborhood, rammer from construction equipment, sunglasses, 5 air conditioner compressors, cellphone chargers, hammock, $8 from a purse, two raccoon traps, kayak, aluminum canoe, flatbed truck, pool stick, two motors from furnace, car keys, sneakers, sweatpants, baseball bats, radio antenna cord on car, power drill, stereo speakers, quilted backpack, butcher knives, ladder, lock, cement Marine Corps plaque, water meter, and “electric dog fence and gift certificate.”

            Some of these items would seem normal.  However, stealing someone’s driver’s license is pointless if you don’t resemble person in the photo.  Car keys would seem average, but they are useless if you can not find the car.  If a person steals a sweater, depending on its description, it may be recognized if he or she wears it in public.  Used sneakers that probably don’t fit are pointless, unless sold online, but who wants to buy used, smelly sneakers?  Sunglasses can be pricy, but this is all the thief could take?  As for the postal packages, the boxes could contain items that the thief has no desire to own.  Winning the lottery is slim so stealing lottery tickets would be lame, but if they yielded winnings, that would be low.

            Some things in the list would seem cool to have, like the kayak and the hammock.  Though, they are awkward things to steal, bulky.  The thief had the gall to enter a property probably with the knowledge that the items were there.  They had premeditated the burglaries carefully in order to satisfy their greed.  Other likely items would be useful like the microwave, backpack leaf blower, power drill, and weed whackers.  These could be stolen on impulse, but they are still odd and awkward things to conceal, even in a getaway car.

            Stereo speakers would seem like worthy materialistic items to loot, but these came from a burglary.  The burglar just took the speakers and left the stereo.  Other items are useless accessories, like cellphone chargers and an iPod wire.


Retail Theft

Table 4

             Table 4 shows the totals and averages for retail theft per week in the whole Lower Bucks County area as provided in the police blotter.  Theft ranges between $300 and $18,400 per week.  The average theft is between $177 and $1,225.  This information is further illustrated in Chart 7. 

Chart 7


Chart 8


In Chart 7, the average appears to be flat compared to the total thefts which dwarf the average line.  By focusing only on the average, Chart 8 shows that the line for average thefts per week is similar to the line for total thefts from Chart 7.  They both start declining from a high point and peak in the middle.  The average line in Chart 8 rises toward the end, whereas the total line in Chart 7 declines and becomes closer to the average, since thefts were fewer.

            As stated before, the majority of retail theft occurs in Middletown due to the mall, the court, and the high number of stores surrounding those areas.  Table 5 displays all the stores that reported losses.  There were 20 identified stores and two were unnamed.  Totals are accounted for each store or chain over the course of twelve weeks.  Totals per week are also shown, which were used in Table 4 and Chart 7.

Table 5

 
            The top three stores for retail theft were JC Penney, Giant, and Sesame Place.  Giant is a chain of grocery stores, and thefts occur at more than one location.  JC Penney had the highest reports of retail theft and only from its sole location in Oxford Valley Mall, which is very close to Sesame Place.  Sesame Place is a theme park, but they have gift shops.  A security guard is usually situated in the Sesame Place’s larger shops like Mr. Hooper’s Emporium and Finder’s Keepers. 

Table 6


Table 6 gives the overall numbers for the top three high incident stores.  Chart 9 allows a visual comparison of the numbers from Table 7, regarding total thefts per week among these stores.

Table 7


Chart 9



            Although the chart above presents three different lines, they do have three peaks and two troughs in common.  From July 20th through August 3rd, JC Penney and Sesame Place nearly parallel each other.  For three weeks, Sesame Place and Giant reported no shortage, and JC Penney was at zero for that middle week.  In the week ending August 31st, JC Penney and Sesame Place peak in a parallel motion again have closer numbers.  Giant rises slightly at that point.  In the week ending September 14th, all three retails have zero thefts.  JC Penney and Giant’s theft incidents rise thereafter, practically coinciding.  Since Sesame Place is a theme park with mostly water rides, theft steadily declined toward the end of summer.


Trending Types of Shoplifting

            At Giant, CVS, and Rite Aid, there have been numerous accounts of razors and baby formula being stolen in bulk.  People are stealing hundreds of dollars in razors; $400, $520; $965.  People are also stealing up to eight cartons of baby formula.  These two items show up repeatedly in the police blotter.  Why?

At first this seems ridiculous.  It’s not.  Both items are resold for drug related activities.  Baby formula resells fast because there are no substitutes for a baby, which leads to price elasticity.  Parents will buy baby formula regardless of price increases.  Thieves resell the baby formula at non-chain stores for very cheap.  Since big box stores like Walmart and Target run little stores out of business, buying these stolen goods could be tempting, because they could undercut the big chain’s prices on a non-substitutable product.  The money the thief gains funds his/her drug habit.
Razors are more complicated, because it involves a network of professional criminals.  Thieves, known as boosters, steal the razors and hand them to their middle man, a fence.  The fence will sell the razors for half price at small shops, and then yield more money for drugs than just stealing and reselling.  Sometimes the fences will ship their stolen goods out of the area and yield revenue.  This has been termed as “Organized Retail Crime.”


©2014 Caroline Friehs

Original Date Posted:  October 25, 2014


References:

The Advance (2014 July 20).  Police Report.  The Advance of Bucks County.  [Paper copy].  Retrievable from:  www.buckslocalnews.com.

The Advance (2014 July 27).  Police Report.  The Advance of Bucks County.  [Paper copy].  Retrievable from:  www.buckslocalnews.com.

The Advance (2014 Aug. 3).  Police Report.  The Advance of Bucks County.  [Paper copy].  Retrievable from:  www.buckslocalnews.com.

The Advance (2014 Aug. 10).  Police Report.  The Advance of Bucks County.  [Paper copy].  Retrievable from:  www.buckslocalnews.com.

The Advance (2014 Aug. 17).  Police Report.  The Advance of Bucks County.  [Paper copy].  Retrievable from:  www.buckslocalnews.com.

The Advance (2014 Aug. 24).  Police Report.  The Advance of Bucks County.  [Paper copy].  Retrievable from:  www.buckslocalnews.com.

The Advance (2014 Aug. 31).  Police Report.  The Advance of Bucks County.  [Paper copy].  Retrievable from:  www.buckslocalnews.com.

The Advance (2014 Sep. 7).  Police Report.  The Advance of Bucks County.  [Paper copy].  Retrievable from:  www.buckslocalnews.com.

The Advance (2014 Sep. 14).  Police Report.  The Advance of Bucks County.  [Paper copy].  Retrievable from:  www.buckslocalnews.com.

The Advance (2014 Sep. 21).  Police Report.  The Advance of Bucks County.  [Paper copy].  Retrievable from:  www.buckslocalnews.com.

The Advance (2014 Sep. 28).  Police Report.  The Advance of Bucks County.  [Paper copy].  Retrievable from:  www.buckslocalnews.com.

The Advance (2014 Oct. 5).  Police Report.  The Advance of Bucks County.  [Paper copy].  Retrievable from:  www.buckslocalnews.com.

Hicks, M (2013 Oct. 31).  Thieves stealing baby formula, but not to feed children.  Q13Fox.  Retrieved from:  http://q13fox.com/2013/10/31/thieves-stealing-baby-formula-but-not-to-feed-children/

Neighborhood Scout (2014).  Levittown, PA.  Real estate and demographic information. 
[Website].  Retrieved from:  http://www.neighborhoodscout.com/pa/levittown/

Rodriguez, E (2014 Feb. 6).  Razor blade thefts part of a growing issue.  WIVB4.  Retrieved from:  http://wivb.com/2014/02/06/razor-blade-thefts-part-of-growing-issue/